EW · Health care(orthopedic, prosthetic & surgical appliances & supplies) · 10 years of annual accounts filed with the SEC · latest fiscal year ended 2025-12-31
Edwards Lifesciences Corp reported revenue of $6.1 billion in fiscal 2025, after growing 8.3% a year over the previous 9 years. Its operating margin narrowed from 25.3% in 2016 to 20.8%, and it earned 9.6% on its invested capital in the latest year. Of the $10.9 billion its operations generated over 10 years, 76.3% went to buybacks and 23.8% back into the business; the share count fell 10.3%. On the accounting screens, it passes 6 of 9 Piotroski tests, its Altman Z'' of 9.60 is in the safe zone and its Beneish M-score is below the -1.78 line; none of the six cross-checks between its statements fires.
Revenue, fiscal 20256.1B+8.3% a year over 9 years
Operating margin20.8%gross margin 78.0%
Return on invested capital9.6%16.2% on average over 5 years
Free cash flow after stock pay1.2B19.4% of revenue
Net debt ÷ EBITDANet cash2.3B more cash than debt
Piotroski F-score6/9tests of improvement passed
Share counts are in today's shares. The SEC's filings restate only recent years after a split, so these jumps were read as splits and the older years scaled to match — otherwise per-share figures would compare different units:
3-for-1 before fiscal 2018.
Is it growing?
Revenue and the operating income it turns into. Growth that does not reach operating income is growth bought with margin.
RevenueOperating income
02.0B4.0B6.0B8.0B
2016Revenue 3.0BOperating income 751.2M
2017Revenue 3.4BOperating income 1.1B
2018Revenue 3.7BOperating income 748.2M
2019Revenue 4.3BOperating income 1.1B
2020Revenue 4.4BOperating income 897.6M
2021Revenue 5.2BOperating income 1.7B
2022Revenue 4.5BOperating income 1.5B
2023Revenue 5.0BOperating income 1.3B
2024Revenue 5.4BOperating income 1.4B
2025Revenue 6.1BOperating income 1.3B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Compound growth a year
3 yrs
5 yrs
9 yrs
Revenue
+10.8%
+6.7%
+8.3%
Operating income
-5.5%
+7.1%
+6.0%
Net income
-11.0%
—
—
Earnings per share
-9.1%
—
—
Free cash flow per share
+13.5%
+17.3%
+12.2%
Shares
-2.1%
-1.5%
-1.2%
Falling shares are buybacks: each remaining share owns more of the company.
Does it earn more than its capital costs?
Margins say how much of each sale is kept; return on invested capital says how much the business earns on the money it needs to operate. Growth only creates value when that return is above the cost of the capital.
Return on invested capitalCost of capital today · 9.9%
0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
2016Return on invested capital 16.8%
2017Return on invested capital 15.4%
2018Return on invested capital 19.0%
2019Return on invested capital 21.7%
2020Return on invested capital 15.6%
2021Return on invested capital 23.2%
2022Return on invested capital 20.4%
2023Return on invested capital 16.1%
2024Return on invested capital 11.7%
2025Return on invested capital 9.6%
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Economic profit
Economic profit
-250.0M0250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B
2016Economic profit 240.5M
2017Economic profit 220.7M
2018Economic profit 341.6M
2019Economic profit 561.7M
2020Economic profit 296.6M
2021Economic profit 858.7M
2022Economic profit 674.4M
2023Economic profit 449.1M
2024Economic profit 198.7M
2025Economic profit -29.3M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
(return on capital − cost of capital) × capital invested: the profit left after paying for the money used. Today's cost of capital is applied to every year, since a past one cannot be rebuilt honestly.
Return on equity
10.4%
Return on assets
7.8%
Asset turnover
0.44×
Research & development
17.8% of revenue
Overheads (SG&A)
34.4% of revenue
Is the profit cash, and where does the cash go?
Net income is an accounting opinion; free cash flow is what was left in the bank after investing. Stock-based pay does not leave the bank — shareholders pay it through dilution — so it is shown taken off as well.
2021Net income 1.5BFree cash flow 1.4BAfter stock-based pay 1.3B
2022Net income 1.5BFree cash flow 973.6MAfter stock-based pay 846.8M
2023Net income 1.4BFree cash flow 642.8MAfter stock-based pay 503.4M
2024Net income 4.2BFree cash flow 289.9MAfter stock-based pay 127.6M
2025Net income 1.1BFree cash flow 1.3BAfter stock-based pay 1.2B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Where 10 years of operating cash went, 2016–2025
10.9B generated by the business. Each band is its share of that total.
Reinvested in the business 24%2.6B
Acquisitions 3%293.1M
Dividends 0%0
Share buybacks 76%8.3B
More than it generated: funded with cash or new debt -3%-302.9M
Over the same years it paid 1.1B in stock. The share count fell 10.3%. 7.2B of the buybacks went beyond offsetting that dilution.
Per share
Earnings per shareFree cash flow per shareDividend per share
$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00
2016Free cash flow per share $0.81
2017Free cash flow per share $1.29
2018Free cash flow per share $1.07
2019Free cash flow per share $1.46
2020Free cash flow per share $1.02
2021Earnings per share $2.38Free cash flow per share $2.23
2022Earnings per share $2.44Free cash flow per share $1.56
2023Earnings per share $2.30Free cash flow per share $1.05
2024Earnings per share $6.97Free cash flow per share $0.48
2025Earnings per share $1.83Free cash flow per share $2.28
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Shares outstanding
Diluted shares
580.0M600.0M620.0M640.0M660.0M
2016Diluted shares 653.4M
2017Diluted shares 647.7M
2018Diluted shares 640.9M
2019Diluted shares 636.7M
2020Diluted shares 631.9M
2021Diluted shares 631.2M
2022Diluted shares 624.2M
2023Diluted shares 609.4M
2024Diluted shares 599.3M
2025Diluted shares 585.8M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
How strong is the balance sheet?
Debt is not bad in itself; debt the business cannot service in a bad year is. Net debt is debt minus cash, and below zero the company holds more cash than it owes.
Net debt
-3.0B-2.0B-1.0B01.0B
2016Net debt -107.8M
2017Net debt 218.1M
2018Net debt -120.3M
2019Net debt -584.7M
2020Net debt -588.2M
2021Net debt -267.1M
2022Net debt -172.7M
2023Net debt -535.3M
2024Net debt -2.4B
2025Net debt -2.3B
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
-1.6×
Interest coverage
62× operating income ÷ interest
Current ratio
3.72 current assets ÷ current liabilities
Cash conversion cycle
286 days collects in 40d, stock 308d, pays in 62d
Three classic screens of the accounts
Each asks a different question of the same statements — is it improving, does it look like a company heading for distress, do the accounts resemble ones that were manipulated. None is a verdict; each shows what moves it.
Piotroski F-score
Is the business improving? Nine yes-or-no tests, this year against last.
6of 9 tests passed
✓ProfitableReturn on assets above zeropassed
✓Cash from operationsOperating cash flow above zeropassed
✕Profitability improvedReturn on assets higher than a year beforefailed
✓Profit backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income (low accruals)passed
✓Less long-term debtLong-term debt as a share of assets fellpassed
✕More liquidCurrent ratio higher than a year beforefailed
✓No new sharesShare count did not growpassed
✕Better gross marginGross margin higher than a year beforefailed
✓Sells more per assetAsset turnover higher than a year beforepassed
Where it misleads: it measures change, not level. An excellent business that stood still for a year scores low; a poor one recovering from a disaster scores high.
Altman Z''-score
Does the balance sheet look like those of companies that went bankrupt?
9.60safe zone
1.12.6
Working capital ÷ assets 0.36 × 6.56+2.36
Retained earnings ÷ assets 1.04 × 3.26+3.39
Operating income ÷ assets 0.09 × 6.72+0.62
Equity ÷ liabilities 3.08 × 1.05+3.23
Where it misleads: buybacks. A company that returns so much cash that its equity turns small or negative sinks the last two ratios without being anywhere near bankruptcy. Banks and insurers do not fit the model at all.
Beneish M-score
Do the accounts resemble those of companies that manipulated their earnings?
-2.62below the -1.78 line
-1.78
Receivables vs sales 0.97+0.89
Gross margin slipping 1.02+0.54
Soft assets 0.96+0.39
Sales growth 1.12+0.99
Slower depreciation 1.06+0.12
Overheads vs sales 1.04-0.18
Profit not in cash -0.04-0.18
Leverage rising 1.09-0.36
Where it misleads: fast growth and acquisitions. Sales growth carries a heavy weight, so a company growing 50% a year scores like a suspect without having done anything. It is a screen from a 1999 study, not an accusation.
Where the statements disagree
Cross-checks between the income statement, the balance sheet and the cash flow for the latest year, each with the benign reading and the worrying one.
None of the six cross-checks fires for the latest year: receivables and inventory move with revenue, profit turns into cash, investment keeps up with depreciation, the tax rate is ordinary and debt is moderate.
What is it worth, under which assumptions?
A company is worth the cash it will generate, brought back to today. This model projects revenue with growth that fades over the years, applies a free cash flow margin, and discounts the result at the cost of capital. Every assumption says where it came from, and all of them can be changed.
Value per share, with these assumptions$29.13discounted at 9.9% a year · 51% of it from after year 10
Type a share price on the left to ask the reverse questions: what growth, what margin or what discount rate that price implies.
What the value implies, in the usual multiples
At this model's value
Price ÷ earnings
15.9×
Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA
10.4×
Enterprise value ÷ revenue
2.4×
Free cash flow yield
6.9%
From cash flows to a value per share
10 years of cash flow, today7.1B
Everything after, today7.6B
The whole business14.7B
Plus net cash2.3B
What belongs to shareholders17.1B
Divided among 585.8M shares: <strong>$29.13</strong> each.
The projection next to its history
Reported free cash flow after stock pay, then the model's. A projection that looks nothing like the past needs a reason.
ReportedProjected
0500.0M1.0B1.5B
2016Reported 471.4M
2017Reported 771.0M
2018Reported 617.0M
2019Reported 847.2M
2020Reported 554.7M
2021Reported 1.3B
2022Reported 846.8M
2023Reported 503.4M
2024Reported 127.6M
2025Reported 1.2B
2026Projected 956.6M
2027Projected 1.0B
2028Projected 1.1B
2029Projected 1.1B
2030Projected 1.2B
2031Projected 1.2B
2032Projected 1.3B
2033Projected 1.3B
2034Projected 1.4B
2035Projected 1.4B
2016201820202022202420262028203020322034
Year by year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Revenue
6.5B
6.9B
7.2B
7.6B
8.0B
8.3B
8.6B
8.9B
9.2B
9.4B
Growth
6.5%
6.1%
5.6%
5.2%
4.7%
4.3%
3.8%
3.4%
2.9%
2.5%
Cash margin
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
14.8%
Free cash flow
956.6M
1.0B
1.1B
1.1B
1.2B
1.2B
1.3B
1.3B
1.4B
1.4B
Worth today
870.8M
840.6M
808.1M
773.6M
737.5M
700.0M
661.6M
622.7M
583.5M
544.4M
If the least-known inputs move
Value per share as two inputs change at a time. Neighbouring cells that differ a lot are the conclusion: the value depends on numbers nobody knows to a point.
The discount rate and growth forever
discount ↓ · forever →
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
8.9%
30
31
33
35
38
9.4%
28
30
31
33
35
9.9%
27
28
29
31
32
10.4%
25
26
27
29
30
10.9%
24
25
26
27
28
Year-one growth and the final margin
margin ↓ · growth →
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
11.8%
22
24
25
27
29
13.3%
24
25
27
29
31
14.8%
25
27
29
31
34
16.3%
27
29
31
33
36
17.8%
29
31
33
35
38
All the inputs moving at once
5,000 valuations, each with growth, final margin, discount rate and growth forever drawn at random around the values on the left (spreads of 3.0%, 2.2%, 1.0% and 0.5%). Not a probability — the spreads are assumptions too — but an honest picture of how wide the answer is.
10th percentile$23.14
Median$29.18
90th percentile$38.06
$20.00$30.00$40.00
Half of the simulations land between <b>$25.71</b> and <b>$33.23</b>; one in ten below $23.14, one in ten above $38.06.
Does the long run make sense?
8.8×The terminal value prices the business in year 10 at 8.8 times that year's EBITDA.
17%To grow 2.5% forever while reinvesting 14% of its after-tax operating profit, the business must earn 17% on the new capital — it has earned 16% on average over the last five years.
51%of the value comes from after year 10. The more of it, the more the answer depends on the part nobody can see.
Accounts from the company's own SEC filings; lines some companies do not report are shown as a dash rather than estimated. The risk-free rate is the 10-year US Treasury yield. A DCF is a way of making assumptions explicit, not a forecast: it states what the company would be worth if the assumptions held. The scores are screens that point where to look, not verdicts. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.